AI

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AI Adoption Fails When Firms Cannot Map It to Work

A field experiment with 515 startups suggests AI creates firm-level gains when teams learn where to reorganize work around it, rather than merely gaining access to tools. This explainer connects adoption outcomes to workflow mapping, experimentation, and organizational change.

Agentic AI Turns Work Into Delegation

OpenAI's Codex usage data suggests the agentic shift is less about better chat answers and more about delegating longer, reusable, parallel workflows. It explains why duration, concurrency, and reuse matter more than conversational polish.

Prediction Machines: Book Summary

Artificial intelligence does not bring artificial intelligence; it brings cheap prediction. Prediction is defined practically as the process of filling in missing information, whether that information pertains to the past, the present, or the future.

AI 2027 Is a Scenario, Not a Prediction

A detailed scenario about agents, automated AI research, model misalignment, geopolitical competition, and the choice between racing and slowing down. Its value lies in testing assumptions about timelines, coordination, and control rather than treating the scenario as destiny.

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